Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 243.585229 274.495319 308.766855 349.751971 397.652248 452.128361 519.147522
2025-04-27 203.612741 245.788755 296.751098 363.576527 449.952647 559.309376 710.635552
2025-05-04 177.429091 223.609770 282.544160 364.619096 478.153876 633.037540 866.383321
2025-05-11 155.177445 202.039417 264.390069 355.391911 488.259536 680.892470 992.575471
2025-05-18 138.733303 185.578602 250.120799 348.154463 498.138532 727.599591 1123.657965
2025-05-25 130.665756 179.417894 248.911155 358.711854 534.781268 819.409596 1345.178238
2025-06-01 120.871533 169.573772 240.976675 357.587471 552.207592 882.211725 1529.610527
2025-06-08 111.167822 158.831572 230.411180 350.697401 558.602604 926.419853 1688.510543
2025-06-15 104.457287 151.931233 224.930307 351.133294 577.081799 994.526737 1910.087079
2025-06-22 96.849171 142.961297 215.273238 343.302889 579.477664 1032.407956 2076.676245
2025-06-29 91.450226 137.018451 209.914606 342.161445 593.768456 1095.521963 2315.656746
2025-07-06 84.221189 127.586008 197.990811 328.068138 581.390590 1101.884860 2421.129395
2025-07-13 82.197383 126.636692 200.443026 340.710009 624.034920 1234.414990 2888.644994
2025-07-20 80.533093 126.156813 203.659137 355.184522 672.824681 1391.473267 3482.331729
2025-07-27 76.912970 122.050028 200.083163 356.079057 692.873888 1485.546648 3930.811767
2025-08-03 72.198933 115.718160 191.986258 347.129080 689.962999 1522.697157 4216.888092
2025-08-10 68.163089 110.316559 185.181189 340.096631 690.411438 1568.632280 4551.369824
2025-08-17 66.726283 109.434805 186.682782 350.352857 732.558397 1734.481168 5384.363622
2025-08-24 63.966697 105.974164 183.020957 349.260645 747.288396 1828.044033 5993.752313
2025-08-31 60.751383 101.483298 177.050936 342.567310 747.194444 1878.896591 6457.376703
2025-09-07 58.585680 98.807367 174.427316 342.990782 765.284244 1988.783338 7238.074431
2025-09-14 55.691327 94.601180 168.488060 335.382955 761.350088 2029.366485 7725.433848
2025-09-21 53.678759 91.956490 165.505760 334.273860 774.729675 2129.541538 8569.880525